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China’s Air Force Enters The 21st Century

The Chinese People’s Liberation Army Air Force (PLAAF) does not constitute a credible offensive threat against the United States or its Asian allies today, and this situation will not change dramatically over the coming decade. If anything, its overall capabilities relative to most of its potential rivals will diminish over the next ten years. These circumstances are a product of constrained | 21s KENNETH w. ALLEN RAND The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract F4962O-91-C-OOO3. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division Directorate of Plans Hq USAF Librerv of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data Allen. Kenneth V . China s air force enters the 21st century Kenneth w. Allen. Glenn Knime . Jonathan D. Pollack. p. cm MR-580-AF Prepared for the United States Air Force. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-8330-1648-2 talk paper I. China. Chting-kuo jen min chieh fang chiin. K ung chiin. 2. Air power China. I. Krumel. Glenn. II. Pollack. Jonathan D. Ill. United States. Air Force. IV. Title. UG635.C6A43 1995 358.4 00951 dc20 95-17782 C1P 1UAND Copyright 1995 RAND is a nonprofit institution thill helps improve public policy through research and analysis. RAND S publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions or policies of its research sponsors. Cover Design Peter Soriano Published 1995 by RAND 1700 Main Street. P.O. Box 2138 Santa Monica. CA 90407-2138 RAND URL http A v wmind.org To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information contact Distribution Services Telephone 310 451-7002 Fax 310 451-6915 Internet order@rand.org. China s Air. force Enters The 21st Century KENNETH w. ALLEN GLENN KRUMEL JONATHAN D. POLLACK Accesion For NTIS CRA t OTIC TAB Unannounced Justification By__ Distribution I Availability Codes Avail and or Special Pkoject air force 9950802 020 Prepared for the United States Air Force RAND DTIi QUALITY INSPECTED B Approved for public release distribution .