tailieunhanh - Financial Markets and Unemployment 

Three themes run through the essay. Think medium term! The financial cycle is much longer than the traditional business cycle. Think monetary! Modelling the financial cycle correctly, rather than simply mimicking some of its features superficially, requires recognising fully the fundamental monetary nature of our economies: the financial system does not just allocate, but also generates, purchasing power, and has very much a life of its own. Think global! The global economy, with its financial, product and input markets, is highly integrated. Understanding economic developments and the challenges they pose calls for a top-down and holistic perspective – one in. | Financial Markets and Unemployment Tommaso Monacelli Vincenzo Quadrini Universita Bocconi University of Southern California Antonella Trigari Università Bocconi December 29 2011 Abstract We study the importance of financial markets for un employment fluctuations in a model with matching frictions where firms issue debt under limited enforcement. Higher debt allows employers to bargain lower wages which in turn increases the incentive to create jobs. The transmission mechanism of credit shocks is different from the typical credit channel and the model can explain why firms cut hiring after a credit contraction even if they do not have shortage of funds for hiring. The empirical relevance of these shocks is validated by the structural estimation of the model. The theoretical predictions are also consistent with the estimation of a structural VAR whose identifying restrictions are derived from the theoretical model. Keywords Limited enforcement wage bargaining unemployment credit shocks. JEL classification E24 E32 E44. We thank Wouter Den Haan John Haltiwanger Nicolas Petrosky-Nadeau and Alan Sutherland for insightful comments and seminar participants at Atlanta Fed Boston Fed Ente Luigi Einaudi European Summer Symposium in International Macroeconomics European University Institute Federal Reserve Board NBER Summer Institute New York Fed NYU Abu Dhabi Ohio State University Philadelphia Fed Princeton University St. Louis Fed Stanford University University of Bonn University of Cergy-Pontoise University of Lausanne University of Milano-Bicocca University of Porto University of Southern California University of Wisconsin. 1 Introduction The recent financial turmoil has been associated with a severe increase in unemployment. In the United States the number of unemployed workers jumped from percent of the labor force to about 10 percent and continued to stay close to 9 percent after four years the beginning of the recession. Because the financial sector has been at the

TỪ KHÓA LIÊN QUAN
crossorigin="anonymous">
Đã phát hiện trình chặn quảng cáo AdBlock
Trang web này phụ thuộc vào doanh thu từ số lần hiển thị quảng cáo để tồn tại. Vui lòng tắt trình chặn quảng cáo của bạn hoặc tạm dừng tính năng chặn quảng cáo cho trang web này.