tailieunhanh - The Dynamic Terrorist Threat

today. But terrorist threats change over time, so the authors have attempted to present a framework of use to decisionmakers and academics involved in terrorism analyses and counterterrorism responsibilities in the future as well. RAND publications stemming from the other three task elements listed above are the following: David Ochmanek, Military Operations Against Terrorist Groups Abroad: Implications for the . Air Force, MR-1738-AF. Nora Bensahel, T | The Dynamic Terrorist Threat An Assessment of Group Motivations and Capabilities in a Changing World Kim Cragin Sara A. Daly Prepared for the United States Air Force Approved for Public Release Distribution Unlimited RAND Project AIR FORCE The research reported here was sponsored by the United States Air Force under Contract F49642-01-C-0003. Further information may be obtained from the Strategic Planning Division Directorate of Plans Hq USAF. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data Cragin Kim. The dynamic terrorist threat an assessment of group motivations and capabilities in a changing world R. Kim Cragin Sara A. Daly. p. cm. Mr-1782. Includes bibliographical references. ISBN 0-8330-3494-4 pbk. alk. paper 1. Terrorism. 2. Terrorists. 3. Terrorism United States Prevention. 4. Threats United States Prevention. 5. Behavioral assessment United States. I. Daly Sara A. II. Rand Corporation. . 2003 25 dc22 2003021106 The RAND Corporation is a nonprofit research organization providing objective analysis and effective solutions that address the challenges facing the public and private sectors around the world. RAND s publications do not necessarily reflect the opinions of its research clients and sponsors. RAND is a registered trademark. Cover design by Stephen Bloodsworth Copyright 2004 RAND Corporation All rights reserved. No part of this book may be reproduced in any form by any electronic or mechanical means including photocopying recording or information storage and retrieval without permission in writing from RAND. Published 2004 by the RAND Corporation 1700 Main Street . Box 2138 Santa Monica CA 90407-2138 1200 South Hayes Street Arlington VA 22202-5050 201 North Craig Street Suite 202 Pittsburgh PA 15213-1516 RAND URL http To order RAND documents or to obtain additional information contact Distribution Services Telephone 310 451-7002 Fax 310 451-6915 Email order@ PREFACE Shortly after the September 11 .