tailieunhanh - FUTURE OF THE INTERNET III SUMMARY OF FINDINGS

Technology stakeholders and critics were asked in an online survey to assess scenarios about the future social, political, and economic impact of the Internet and they said the following: • The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the Internet for most people in the world in 2020. • The transparency of people and organizations will increase, but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity. social tolerance, or forgiveness. • Talk and touch user-interfaces with the Internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020. • Those working to enforce intellectual property law and copyright protection will remain in a continuing “arms race,” with the “crackers”. | LEVINTERNET PEW INTERNET AMERICAN LIFE PROJECT The Future of the Internet III A survey of experts shows they expect major tech advances as the phone becomes a primary device for online access voice-recognition improves and the structure of the Internet itself improves. They disagree about whether this will lead to more social tolerance more forgiving human relations or better home lives. December 1 4 2008 Janna Quitney Anderson Elon University Lee Rainie Director Pew Internet American Life Project Future of The Internet III Summary of Findings Technology stakeholders and critics were asked in an online survey to assess scenarios about the future social political and economic impact of the Internet and they said the following The mobile device will be the primary connection tool to the Internet for most people in the world in 2020. The transparency of people and organizations will increase but that will not necessarily yield more personal integrity. social tolerance or forgiveness. Talk and touch user-interfaces with the Internet will be more prevalent and accepted by 2020. Those working to enforce intellectual property law and copyright protection will remain in a continuing arms race with the crackers who will find ways to copy and share content without payment. The divisions between personal time and work time and between physical and virtual reality will be further erased for everyone who s connected and the results will be mixed in terms of social relations. Next-generation engineering of the network to improve the current Internet architecture is more likely than an effort to rebuild the architecture from scratch. About the Methodology and Interpreting the Findings This is the third canvassing of Internet specialists and analysts by the Pew Internet American Life While a wide range of opinion from experts organizations and interested institutions was sought this survey should not be taken as a representative canvassing of Internet experts. By design