tailieunhanh - Project risk management processes techniques in sights phần 8

Các nguyên nhân thường gặp của các hiệu ứng knock-là thay đổi thiết kế và sự chậm trễ, không chỉ có tác động trực tiếp mà còn gây ra hiệu ứng gợn sóng gọi là "sự chậm trễ và gián đoạn". Thường thì hậu quả trực tiếp có thể | Initiating an RMP in a project s allocate stage 269 will follow. Risk management on the whole project may be aborted as a consequence. Empowerment from the top and experienced analysts are essential if purely cosmetic analysis is to be avoided. Purely cosmetic analysis at this stage is not just a waste of time it is dangerously misleading and the basis of some well-founded mistrust of risk management. Most people who are seriously suspicious of RMPs have been burned by ineffective RMPs at this stage of a project and have not understood that it was the particular RMP practitioners who were at fault or those who hired and directed them not the basic idea of such a process. There are RMPs and there are RMPs. Each needs to be used in an appropriate way at an appropriate time. Further there are RMP practitioners and RMP practitioners. Some are very good with specific familiar problems but are not flexible enough in terms of conceptual education or experience to deal effectively with situations they have not encountered before. It is important to see RMP design skills as part of a craft that requires serious attention. It is not an activity that provides something useful to do for people who are otherwise unengaged who have attended a two-day intensive course. We do not want to put people off who wish to have a go but we are particularly anxious that mistakes and the ongoing consequences of those mistakes are avoided if the uninitiated tackle the infeasible or inappropriate. In effect the SHAMPU define phase properly done needs to cover all the important issues that should have been addressed earlier if this is feasible. If this is not feasible detailed bottom-up analysis of the whole project is a dangerous waste of time. Time is much better spent on two alternative forms of analysis with an emphasis dependent on relative priorities 1. bottom-up risk analysis of specific tactical issues 2. top-down risk analysis of the project and its context as a whole. For example a .

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