tailieunhanh - A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling

Information about climate1 is used to make decisions every day. From farmers deciding which crops to plant next season to mayors in large cities deciding how to prepare for future heat waves, and from an insurance company assessing future flood risks to a national security planner assessing future conflict risks from the impacts of drought, users of climate information span a vast array of sectors in both the public and private spheres. Each of these communities has different needs for climate data, with different time horizons (see Box 1) and different tolerances for uncertainty. | A NATIONAL STRATEGY FOR CLIMATE MODELING A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling Committee on a National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling Board on Atmospheric Studies and Climate Division on Earth and Life Studies This prepublication version of A National Strategy for Advancing Climate Modeling has been provided to the public to facilitate timely access to the report. Although the substance of the report is final editorial changes may be made throughout the text and citations will be checked prior to publication. The final report will be available through the National Academies Press in fall 2012. NATIONAL RESEARCH COUNCIL OF 7HE NATIONAL ACADEMIES THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS Washington . THE NATIONAL ACADEMIES PRESS 500 Fifth Street NW Washington DC 20001 NOTICE The project that is the subject of this report was approved by the Governing Board of the National Research Council whose members are drawn from the councils of the National Academy of Sciences the National Academy of Engineering and the Institute of Medicine. The members of the committee responsible for the report were chosen for their special competences and with regard for appropriate balance. This study was supported by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration under contract DG133R-08-CO-0062 Task Order 12 the National Aeronautics and Space Administration under contract NNX08AB07G the National Science Foundation under Grant No. ATM-0809051 the Department of Energy under contract DE-SC0005113 and the United States intelligence community. Any opinions findings and conclusions or recommendations expressed in this material are those of the author s and do not necessarily reflect the views of the sponsoring agency or any of its subagencies. Library of Congress Cataloging-in-Publication Data International Standard Book Number 978-0-309-25977-4 Additional copies of this report are available for sale from the National Academies Press 500 Fifth Street NW Keck 360 .