tailieunhanh - THE CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS?

Mùa hè năm 1993, v72, N3, P22 (28) © Hội đồng Quan hệ nước ngoài. Samuel P. Huntington là Eaton Giáo sư của Khoa học của Chính phủ và Giám đốc của Viện Nghiên cứu chiến lược tại Đại học Harvard John M. Olin. Bài viết này là sản phẩm của dự án Viện Olin về "Môi trường an ninh thay đổi và lợi ích quốc gia Mỹ." | THE CLASH OF CIVILIZATIONS Samuel Huntington Foreign Affairs. Summer 1993 v72 n3 p22 28 Council on Foreign Relations Inc. Samuel P. Huntington is the Eaton Professor of the Science of Government and Director of the John M. Olin Institute for Strategic Studies at Harvard University. This article is the product of the Olin Institute s project on The Changing Security Environment and American National Interests. THE NEXT PATTERN OF CONFLICT World politics is entering a new phase and intellectuals have not hesitated to proliferate visions of what it will be--the end of history the return of traditional rivalries between nation states and the decline of the nation state from the conflicting pulls of tribalism and globalism among others. Each of these visions catches aspects of the emerging reality. Yet they all miss a crucial indeed a central aspect of what global politics is likely to be in the coming years. It is my hypothesis that the fundamental source of conflict in this new world will not be primarily ideological or primarily economic. The great divisions among humankind and the dominating source of conflict will be cultural. Nation states will remain the most powerful actors in world affairs but the principal conflicts of global politics will occur between nations and groups of different civilizations. The clash of civilizations will dominate global politics. The fault lines between civilizations will be the battle lines of the future. Conflict between civilizations will be the latest phase in the evolution of conflict in the modern world. For a century and a half after the emergence of the modern international system with the Peace of Westphalia the conflicts of the Western world were largely among princes--emperors absolute monarchs and constitutional monarchs attempting to expand their bureaucracies their armies their mercantilist economic strength and most important the territory they ruled. In the process they created nation states and beginning with the .