tailieunhanh - Fuzzy reasoning house of risk to manage supply chain risk in wooden toys industries

House of Risk Method is used to identify the most potential risk agents, while the fuzzy reasoning risk assessment model is used to determine the risk severity by risk agents. Based on the analysis, it is found that risk agent stock out of the product is the most potential risk agent in this industry. To reduce the impact, mitigation strategies are suggested for stock out product risk agents in warehouse are flexible supply base, safety stock, internal coordination, as well as create and control production schedules. | 462 Int. J Sup. Chain. Mgt Vol. 8 October 2019 Fuzzy Reasoning House of Risk to Manage Supply Chain Risk in Wooden Toys Industries Widya Nurcahayanty Tanjung 1 Selma Intan Praditya Sari Himawan 2 Syarif Hidayat 3 Endang Ripmiatin 4 Selvy Sekar Asti 5 Ratu Siti Khodijah 6 Saaras Ayu Atikah 7 Industrial Engineering Faculty of Science and Technology Al Azhar Indonesia University Indonesia Informatics Engineering Faculty of Science and Technology Al Azhar Indonesia University Indonesia 1widya@ 2himawanselma@ Abstract The research was done in wooden toy the concept framework of SCRM consists of 4 industry which have complex supply chain. Because of stages of identifying risks conducting risk their complexity there will be a lot of risks attached to assessments mitigating and monitoring. Various it. Risks factor which can be identified in this business methods have been developed in the management are out of stock product and human factor. To assess of supply chain risks such as qualitative the risks a new method is developed to eliminate quantitative-analytic and quantitative-empirical subjective factors from decision makers. The proposed method is Fuzzy Reasoning House of Risk FHOR . methods. The most widely used method is This method is combination of fuzzy reasoning risk quantitative-analytic method then qualitative assessment model and house of risk which can be method and the least used method is quantitative- contribute to enrich risk assessment methodology. empirical method and there are only about 40 House of Risk Method is used to identify the most articles that develop quantitative method Integrated potential risk agents while the fuzzy reasoning risk 8 . The self-integrated quantitative method is a assessment model is used to determine the risk severity combination of two quantitative methods used by risk agents. Based on the analysis it is found that simultaneously to solve problems in supply chain risk agent stock out of the product