tailieunhanh - Applying analytic hierarchy process (AHP) to select climate change adaptation methods in agricultural sector: A literature review

The paper recommends MCA in general and AHP in particular as effective tools to compensate for the disadvantages of other techniques as well as to overcome the challenges and requirements from the climate change adaptation decision-making process. | Hue University Journal of Science ISSN 2588–1205 Vol. 128, No. 5C, 2019, pp. 155–168; DOI: APPLYING ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS (AHP) TO SELECT CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION METHODS IN AGRICULTURAL SECTOR: A LITERATURE REVIEW Nguyen Thi Dieu Linh* University of Economics, Hue University, 99 Ho Dac Di St., Hue, Vietnam Abstract: According to Conference of the Parties 22 (COP22) statement, climate change adaptation is the concern of not only an individual but also the whole society. Since the climate change issue is a multidimensional problem, decision-making in climate change adaptation is a complex process. In this paper, we analyze the advantages and disadvantages of three main group of decision-support tools, namely Expert preference, Monetary valuation, and Multi-criteria analysis (MCA). The paper recommends MCA in general and AHP in particular as effective tools to compensate for the disadvantages of other techniques as well as to overcome the challenges and requirements from the climate change adaptation decision-making process. Keywords: climate change, AHP, MCA, monetary valuation, expert preference 1 Introduction The twenty-first session of the Conference of the Parties (COP22) that took place from 07 to 18 November 2016, in Marrakesh, Morocco has confirmed again the agreement from nearly 200 countries on the climate change (CC) issues in COP21. This agreement proved that climate change is still not a “heated topic of debate” [23] but now became a real risk for whole humanity. According to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), climate change refers to ‘any change in climate over time, whether due to natural variability or as a result of human activity’ [12, p. 871]. Climate change will lead to major impacts in the following sectors: water resources, agriculture, forestry, fishery, energy, transportation, and health [11] in which agriculture should be a focus due to its direct exposure to and dependence on .