tailieunhanh - Lecture Financial markets - Lecture 2: The universal principle of risk management: Pooling and hedging of risk

Statistics and mathematics underlie the theories of finance. Probability Theory and various distribution types are important to understanding finance. Risk management, for instance, depends on tools such as variance, standard deviation, correlation, and regression analysis. Financial analysis methods such as present values and valuing streams of payments are fundamental to understanding the time value of money and have been in practice for centuries. | Lecture 2 The Universal Principle of Risk Management Pooling and Hedging of Risk Probability and Insurance Concept of probability began in 1660s Concept of probability grew from interest in gambling. Mahabarata story (ca. 400 AD) of Nala and Rtuparna, suggests some probability theory was understood in India then. Fire of London 1666 and Insurance Probability and Its Rules Random variable: A quantity determined by the outcome of an experiment Discrete and continuous random variables Independent trials Probability P, 0