tailieunhanh - Cash transfers for the most vulnerable and poor elderly people in Vietnam: An ex-Ante impact evaluation

Cash transfers for the most vulnerable and poor elderly people in Vietnam: An ex-Ante impact evaluation. This paper applies micro-simulation techniques with a household survey, ., Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey (VHLSS) in 2010, to examine how a cash transfer program would have been able to help reduce poverty of the elderly. The results show that any cash transfer programs could have reduced poverty for older people. | Journal of Economics and Development Vol. 15, , December 2013, pp. 22 - 35 ISSN 1859 0020 Cash Transfers For The Most Vulnerable and Poor Elderly People in Vietnam: An Ex-Ante Impact Evaluation Giang Thanh Long National Economics University, Vietnam Email: longgt@ Hoang Chinh Thon National Economics University, Vietnam Abstract This paper applies micro-simulation techniques with a household survey, ., Vietnam Household Living Standards Survey (VHLSS) in 2010, to examine how a cash transfer program would have been able to help reduce poverty of the elderly. The results show that any cash transfer programs could have reduced poverty for older people. The paper also shows that cash transfer would help reduce expenditure inequality as the Gini coefficients for the whole population as well as for older people at different age thresholds would reduce when cash transfer was introduced. With a special focus on expansion of the current cash transfer program to older Vietnamese people, the paper provides scenario-based micro-simulation results for costs and poverty rate reduction for different programs covering groups of older people at different ages, and the results show that the total cost would be in line with that in many other developing countries. Keywords: Aging, cash transfer, micro-simulation, poverty, Vietnam. Journal of Economics and Development 22 Vol. 15, , December 2013 1. Introduction 5 per cent of old-age citizens living in rural areas receive pensions; less than 20 per cent of them are receiving social allowances, and few are in long-term care programs. In some provinces, old people are living in extreme poverty conditions, and for them, even a small contribution from either their children or a social fund can increase monetary security and emotional satisfaction. Under the strong impacts of urbanization and migration, old people in rural and mountainous Vietnam have little option but to rely on family support at a time when .