tailieunhanh - Investigation on the impact of US anti-dumping measures during the “catfish war” on Vietnamese pangasius exports

Investigation on the impact of US anti-dumping measures during the “catfish war” on Vietnamese pangasius exports. The Vietnamese pangasius industry has faced anti-dumping (AD) measures imposed by the United States of America (USA). This dispute between the USA and Vietnam is known as the “Catfish War”. | Journal of Economics and Development, , , August 2014, pp. 61-77 ISSN 1859 0020 Investigation on the Impact of US Anti-dumping Measures during the “Catfish War” on Vietnamese Pangasius Exports Tu Van Binh University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Email: tvbinh@ Nguyen Huu Huy Nhut University of Economics Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam Abstract The Vietnamese pangasius industry has faced anti-dumping (AD) measures imposed by the United States of America (USA). This dispute between the USA and Vietnam is known as the “Catfish War”. Based on monthly time series data from January 1999 to December 2011, an econometric approach is considered, in which regression models are taken into account for investigating how the USA AD measures impact on the volume and the value of Vietnam’s pangasius exports. As resulted in the estimation, the paper found that although the anti-dumping taxes imposed on Vietnam pangasius, it is not so seriously problematic for exporters in the longterm. One of the reasons is that Vietnam pangasius exporters are dynamic in developing market diversification by shifting from the USA to the European market However, in the short term, the trade dispute between the USA and Vietnam is a warning alarm for Vietnam pangasius exporters. In addition, the paper does not have any evidence to confirm that the upward trend of the real exchange rate between the VND and the USD is causing changes in either the pangasius export volume or the pangasius export value. Also there is no confirmation of a significant relationship between the inflation rate in Vietnam and the export value. Keywords: Aquaculture, Vietnam pangasius, anti-dumping. Journal of Economics and Development 61 Vol. 16, , August 2014 1. Introduction ports. If the DOC finds evidence of dumping and the ITC finds that the industry is “materially injured or threatened with material injury”, antidumping duties can be imposed. Similarly, the EU can bring antidumping .